**Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Karachi’s lowest temperature on September 2, reflecting consistent model guidance and observational trends from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts.** Recent runs show overnight lows stabilizing near this level under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 80-87%, and steady westerly to southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September climatology for coastal Karachi supports minimums typically between 25-27°C during this transitional monsoon period, with current atmospheric conditions aligning closely. The high implied probability indicates traders view deviations as low-risk given the narrow forecast spread across ensembles. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky window or abrupt wind shift enhancing cooling, though latest guidance shows little potential for such shifts before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日卡拉奇的最低溫度？
9月2日卡拉奇的最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C 20.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$1,383 交易量
$1,383 交易量
2026-09-02
21°C or below
No
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
22°C 20.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$1,383 交易量
$1,383 交易量
2026-09-02
21°C or below
$92 交易量
No
22°C
$59 交易量
否
23°C
$27 交易量
否
24°C
$48 交易量
否
25°C
$430 交易量
否
26°C
$567 交易量
是
27°C
$84 交易量
否
28°C
$15 交易量
否
29°C
$20 交易量
否
30°C
$20 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$20 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Karachi’s lowest temperature on September 2, reflecting consistent model guidance and observational trends from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts.**
Recent runs show overnight lows stabilizing near this level under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 80-87%, and steady westerly to southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September climatology for coastal Karachi supports minimums typically between 25-27°C during this transitional monsoon period, with current atmospheric conditions aligning closely. The high implied probability indicates traders view deviations as low-risk given the narrow forecast spread across ensembles. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky window or abrupt wind shift enhancing cooling, though latest guidance shows little potential for such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$1,383結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Karachi’s lowest temperature on September 2, reflecting consistent model guidance and observational trends from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts.**
Recent runs show overnight lows stabilizing near this level under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 80-87%, and steady westerly to southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September climatology for coastal Karachi supports minimums typically between 25-27°C during this transitional monsoon period, with current atmospheric conditions aligning closely. The high implied probability indicates traders view deviations as low-risk given the narrow forecast spread across ensembles. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky window or abrupt wind shift enhancing cooling, though latest guidance shows little potential for such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,383結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Karachi’s lowest temperature on September 2, reflecting consistent model guidance and observational trends from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international forecasts.** Recent runs show overnight lows stabilizing near this level under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity around 80-87%, and steady westerly to southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical September climatology for coastal Karachi supports minimums typically between 25-27°C during this transitional monsoon period, with current atmospheric conditions aligning closely. The high implied probability indicates traders view deviations as low-risk given the narrow forecast spread across ensembles. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky window or abrupt wind shift enhancing cooling, though latest guidance shows little potential for such shifts before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions