Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow will drive Paris minimum temperatures to 12–13 °C on August 23, establishing these as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied odds near 84%. Late-August climatology typically shows lows near 14–15 °C, but a freshening pattern with reduced cloud cover and modest advection of cooler air has shifted expectations downward. Model spread remains modest, with small risks of slightly warmer or cooler readings depending on exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shifts. Traders are closely watching the final 00 UTC model runs and local observations for confirmation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日巴黎最低溫度？
8月23日巴黎最低溫度？
12°C 42%
13°C 38%
11°C 14%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
1%
11°C
14%
12°C
45%
13°C
38%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
12°C 42%
13°C 38%
11°C 14%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C或以下
$59 交易量
1%
9°C
$64 交易量
2%
10°C
$363 交易量
1%
11°C
$139 交易量
14%
12°C
$438 交易量
45%
13°C
$569 交易量
38%
14°C
$64 交易量
5%
15°C
$109 交易量
2%
16°C
$189 交易量
1%
17°C
$189 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$69 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow will drive Paris minimum temperatures to 12–13 °C on August 23, establishing these as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied odds near 84%. Late-August climatology typically shows lows near 14–15 °C, but a freshening pattern with reduced cloud cover and modest advection of cooler air has shifted expectations downward. Model spread remains modest, with small risks of slightly warmer or cooler readings depending on exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shifts. Traders are closely watching the final 00 UTC model runs and local observations for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,249結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow will drive Paris minimum temperatures to 12–13 °C on August 23, establishing these as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied odds near 84%. Late-August climatology typically shows lows near 14–15 °C, but a freshening pattern with reduced cloud cover and modest advection of cooler air has shifted expectations downward. Model spread remains modest, with small risks of slightly warmer or cooler readings depending on exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shifts. Traders are closely watching the final 00 UTC model runs and local observations for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,249結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow will drive Paris minimum temperatures to 12–13 °C on August 23, establishing these as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied odds near 84%. Late-August climatology typically shows lows near 14–15 °C, but a freshening pattern with reduced cloud cover and modest advection of cooler air has shifted expectations downward. Model spread remains modest, with small risks of slightly warmer or cooler readings depending on exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shifts. Traders are closely watching the final 00 UTC model runs and local observations for confirmation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions