Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and models referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate a high of 33–36 °C for Jinan on August 23 under sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Late-August climatology supports this range, with historical average highs near 31 °C that rarely dip below 28 °C absent a strong frontal passage. The market’s 95.5 % implied probability on 26 °C or higher therefore reflects consistent numerical guidance and seasonal norms rather than speculation. A rapid, unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air could lower readings, yet ensemble spreads show low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日濟南氣溫最高？
8月23日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
16°C or below
$79 交易量
1%
17°C
$79 交易量
1%
18°C
$79 交易量
1%
19°C
$79 交易量
1%
20°C
$79 交易量
1%
21°C
$79 交易量
1%
22°C
$79 交易量
1%
23°C
$79 交易量
1%
24°C
$5 交易量
3%
25°C
$5 交易量
3%
26°C or higher
$346 交易量
96%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and models referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate a high of 33–36 °C for Jinan on August 23 under sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Late-August climatology supports this range, with historical average highs near 31 °C that rarely dip below 28 °C absent a strong frontal passage. The market’s 95.5 % implied probability on 26 °C or higher therefore reflects consistent numerical guidance and seasonal norms rather than speculation. A rapid, unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air could lower readings, yet ensemble spreads show low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$989結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and models referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate a high of 33–36 °C for Jinan on August 23 under sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Late-August climatology supports this range, with historical average highs near 31 °C that rarely dip below 28 °C absent a strong frontal passage. The market’s 95.5 % implied probability on 26 °C or higher therefore reflects consistent numerical guidance and seasonal norms rather than speculation. A rapid, unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air could lower readings, yet ensemble spreads show low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$989結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and models referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate a high of 33–36 °C for Jinan on August 23 under sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds. Late-August climatology supports this range, with historical average highs near 31 °C that rarely dip below 28 °C absent a strong frontal passage. The market’s 95.5 % implied probability on 26 °C or higher therefore reflects consistent numerical guidance and seasonal norms rather than speculation. A rapid, unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air could lower readings, yet ensemble spreads show low likelihood of such a shift before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions