Persistent monsoon moisture and active convection over the South China Sea are keeping Shenzhen under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms through August 24, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Recent model consensus from multiple sources points to highs clustered around 30–32 °C, with heavy rain expected to further moderate peaks via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Subtropical humidity levels near 85 % and light southerly flow prevent rapid warming, while the absence of a strong ridge or clear-sky break favors the narrow 30–32 °C range that currently dominates trader probabilities. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日深圳最高溫度？
8月24日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 29%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
29%
32°C
23%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C或更高
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 28%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$111 交易量
3%
28°C
$2 交易量
7%
29°C
$0 交易量
11%
30°C
$2 交易量
28%
31°C
$13 交易量
29%
32°C
$108 交易量
23%
33°C
$21 交易量
9%
34°C
$7 交易量
3%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and active convection over the South China Sea are keeping Shenzhen under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms through August 24, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Recent model consensus from multiple sources points to highs clustered around 30–32 °C, with heavy rain expected to further moderate peaks via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Subtropical humidity levels near 85 % and light southerly flow prevent rapid warming, while the absence of a strong ridge or clear-sky break favors the narrow 30–32 °C range that currently dominates trader probabilities. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$265結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon moisture and active convection over the South China Sea are keeping Shenzhen under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms through August 24, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Recent model consensus from multiple sources points to highs clustered around 30–32 °C, with heavy rain expected to further moderate peaks via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Subtropical humidity levels near 85 % and light southerly flow prevent rapid warming, while the absence of a strong ridge or clear-sky break favors the narrow 30–32 °C range that currently dominates trader probabilities. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$265結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent monsoon moisture and active convection over the South China Sea are keeping Shenzhen under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms through August 24, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. Recent model consensus from multiple sources points to highs clustered around 30–32 °C, with heavy rain expected to further moderate peaks via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Subtropical humidity levels near 85 % and light southerly flow prevent rapid warming, while the absence of a strong ridge or clear-sky break favors the narrow 30–32 °C range that currently dominates trader probabilities. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions