Recent observational data from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and NOAA stations near Kuala Lumpur confirm a daily maximum of 34°C on August 24, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects the city's equatorial climate during the southwest monsoon transition, where afternoon peaks typically range 32–35°C under consistent solar heating, high humidity, and light winds, with official records at Subang Airport serving as the resolution benchmark. Historical August baselines support this narrow band absent unusual convective activity or frontal influences. The consensus draws from skin-in-the-game trader aggregation of model runs and station reports, though minor resolution shifts could arise from final quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific discrepancies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日吉隆坡的最高溫度?
34°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,687 交易量
$32,687 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
34°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$32,687 交易量
$32,687 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and NOAA stations near Kuala Lumpur confirm a daily maximum of 34°C on August 24, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects the city's equatorial climate during the southwest monsoon transition, where afternoon peaks typically range 32–35°C under consistent solar heating, high humidity, and light winds, with official records at Subang Airport serving as the resolution benchmark. Historical August baselines support this narrow band absent unusual convective activity or frontal influences. The consensus draws from skin-in-the-game trader aggregation of model runs and station reports, though minor resolution shifts could arise from final quality-controlled data revisions or station-specific discrepancies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions