**Latest European weather model consensus, including outputs referenced by BBC Weather and Time and Date, points to a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on August 26 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for 23°C and 30% for 22°C, reflecting typical late-August conditions near the 23.4°C seasonal average high. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover support moderate radiative warming without heat advection from southern air masses, keeping values within the narrow 22–24°C band that captures over 90% of trader sentiment. Minor model spread around 24°C accounts for its 13.5% share. Resolution will depend on official Polish meteorological service observations at the close of the calendar day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日華沙的最高溫度？
8月26日華沙的最高溫度？
23°C 49%
22°C 31%
24°C 13%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
31%
23°C
49%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 31%
24°C 13%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
$200 交易量
<1%
18°C
$343 交易量
<1%
19°C
$173 交易量
<1%
20°C
$365 交易量
2%
21°C
$278 交易量
5%
22°C
$483 交易量
31%
23°C
$426 交易量
49%
24°C
$1,249 交易量
13%
25°C
$276 交易量
3%
26°C
$298 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$238 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest European weather model consensus, including outputs referenced by BBC Weather and Time and Date, points to a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on August 26 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for 23°C and 30% for 22°C, reflecting typical late-August conditions near the 23.4°C seasonal average high. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover support moderate radiative warming without heat advection from southern air masses, keeping values within the narrow 22–24°C band that captures over 90% of trader sentiment. Minor model spread around 24°C accounts for its 13.5% share. Resolution will depend on official Polish meteorological service observations at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,328結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest European weather model consensus, including outputs referenced by BBC Weather and Time and Date, points to a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on August 26 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for 23°C and 30% for 22°C, reflecting typical late-August conditions near the 23.4°C seasonal average high. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover support moderate radiative warming without heat advection from southern air masses, keeping values within the narrow 22–24°C band that captures over 90% of trader sentiment. Minor model spread around 24°C accounts for its 13.5% share. Resolution will depend on official Polish meteorological service observations at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,328結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Latest European weather model consensus, including outputs referenced by BBC Weather and Time and Date, points to a daytime maximum of 23°C in Warsaw on August 26 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for 23°C and 30% for 22°C, reflecting typical late-August conditions near the 23.4°C seasonal average high. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover support moderate radiative warming without heat advection from southern air masses, keeping values within the narrow 22–24°C band that captures over 90% of trader sentiment. Minor model spread around 24°C accounts for its 13.5% share. Resolution will depend on official Polish meteorological service observations at the close of the calendar day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions