Persistent southwest monsoon activity, or Habagat, is the main driver suppressing daytime highs in Manila ahead of August 26, with PAGASA forecasts indicating cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate to strong southwesterly winds that reduce solar insolation. Official guidance and multiple models converge on maximum temperatures near 30–32°C (86–90°F), consistent with climatological August averages of about 31°C but tempered by 60–85% rain chances that favor lower peaks than clearer-sky scenarios. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or model divergence favoring extremes, while historical records indicate rare August spikes above 33°C under similar monsoon conditions. Traders are thus weighting near-term forecast updates from PAGASA and global models, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading at the primary Manila station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月26日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 19%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
12%
34°C
8%
35°C
9%
36°C或更高
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
30°C 19%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
9%
29°C
$0 交易量
11%
30°C
$0 交易量
19%
31°C
$0 交易量
29%
32°C
$46 交易量
34%
33°C
$0 交易量
12%
34°C
$0 交易量
8%
35°C
$0 交易量
9%
36°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, or Habagat, is the main driver suppressing daytime highs in Manila ahead of August 26, with PAGASA forecasts indicating cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate to strong southwesterly winds that reduce solar insolation. Official guidance and multiple models converge on maximum temperatures near 30–32°C (86–90°F), consistent with climatological August averages of about 31°C but tempered by 60–85% rain chances that favor lower peaks than clearer-sky scenarios. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or model divergence favoring extremes, while historical records indicate rare August spikes above 33°C under similar monsoon conditions. Traders are thus weighting near-term forecast updates from PAGASA and global models, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading at the primary Manila station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$46結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, or Habagat, is the main driver suppressing daytime highs in Manila ahead of August 26, with PAGASA forecasts indicating cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate to strong southwesterly winds that reduce solar insolation. Official guidance and multiple models converge on maximum temperatures near 30–32°C (86–90°F), consistent with climatological August averages of about 31°C but tempered by 60–85% rain chances that favor lower peaks than clearer-sky scenarios. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or model divergence favoring extremes, while historical records indicate rare August spikes above 33°C under similar monsoon conditions. Traders are thus weighting near-term forecast updates from PAGASA and global models, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading at the primary Manila station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity, or Habagat, is the main driver suppressing daytime highs in Manila ahead of August 26, with PAGASA forecasts indicating cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate to strong southwesterly winds that reduce solar insolation. Official guidance and multiple models converge on maximum temperatures near 30–32°C (86–90°F), consistent with climatological August averages of about 31°C but tempered by 60–85% rain chances that favor lower peaks than clearer-sky scenarios. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or model divergence favoring extremes, while historical records indicate rare August spikes above 33°C under similar monsoon conditions. Traders are thus weighting near-term forecast updates from PAGASA and global models, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading at the primary Manila station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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