National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions favoring strong daytime radiative heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This official guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing 103–106°F peaks, underpins the market’s leading implied probability of 53.5% for 104–105°F and 31.5% for 106–107°F. Modest ensemble spread and station-specific variations introduce the observed uncertainty, while broader August climatology (average highs near 100°F) and the current heat advisory highlight the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and final model runs before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月23日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
100-101°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
華氏95度或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
53%
106-107°F
32%
108-109°F
3%
110-111華氏度
1%
112-113°F
2%
華氏114度或更高
<1%
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
100-101°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
華氏95度或以下
$80 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$87 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$26 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$11 交易量
4%
102-103°F
$99 交易量
16%
104-105°F
$145 交易量
53%
106-107°F
$65 交易量
32%
108-109°F
$47 交易量
3%
110-111華氏度
$22 交易量
1%
112-113°F
$26 交易量
2%
華氏114度或更高
$18 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions favoring strong daytime radiative heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This official guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing 103–106°F peaks, underpins the market’s leading implied probability of 53.5% for 104–105°F and 31.5% for 106–107°F. Modest ensemble spread and station-specific variations introduce the observed uncertainty, while broader August climatology (average highs near 100°F) and the current heat advisory highlight the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and final model runs before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$625結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions favoring strong daytime radiative heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This official guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing 103–106°F peaks, underpins the market’s leading implied probability of 53.5% for 104–105°F and 31.5% for 106–107°F. Modest ensemble spread and station-specific variations introduce the observed uncertainty, while broader August climatology (average highs near 100°F) and the current heat advisory highlight the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and final model runs before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$625結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts project a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 amid an ongoing late-summer heatwave, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and dry conditions favoring strong daytime radiative heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This official guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing 103–106°F peaks, underpins the market’s leading implied probability of 53.5% for 104–105°F and 31.5% for 106–107°F. Modest ensemble spread and station-specific variations introduce the observed uncertainty, while broader August climatology (average highs near 100°F) and the current heat advisory highlight the elevated baseline. Updated NWS briefings and final model runs before resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions