Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid a persistent heat dome, with recent observations showing lows near 75–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Model consensus remains tight on minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and limited cloud cover, yet slight variations in steering patterns or a weak frontal passage could drop readings into the mid-70s. A noted tropical moisture threat around August 23–25 introduces the main uncertainty, as added cloudiness or rainfall could suppress radiational cooling and keep the minimum higher, while drier air would favor the lower range. Traders weigh these short-term model spreads against Austin’s August climatology of 74–75°F average lows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯汀8月23日的最低溫度?
華氏71度或以下 78%
華氏90度或更高 57%
84-85°F 40%
76-77°F 32%
華氏71度或以下
78%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或更高
57%
華氏71度或以下 78%
華氏90度或更高 57%
84-85°F 40%
76-77°F 32%
華氏71度或以下
78%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或更高
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts point to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid a persistent heat dome, with recent observations showing lows near 75–78°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Model consensus remains tight on minimal overnight cooling due to high humidity and limited cloud cover, yet slight variations in steering patterns or a weak frontal passage could drop readings into the mid-70s. A noted tropical moisture threat around August 23–25 introduces the main uncertainty, as added cloudiness or rainfall could suppress radiational cooling and keep the minimum higher, while drier air would favor the lower range. Traders weigh these short-term model spreads against Austin’s August climatology of 74–75°F average lows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions