**Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate daytime highs on August 26 will generally reach 37–39°C across much of the municipality, with local spots potentially hitting 40°C under the influence of Typhoon Zitan’s peripheral flow.** Center-city readings are projected around 28–38°C amid mostly cloudy to clear conditions and scattered afternoon showers that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on 38°C (39.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C (27%) and 37°C (20.5%), reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical late-August climatology for the region. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover during peak insolation hours have sustained a multi-day heatwave, with 22 districts exceeding 37°C and several surpassing 40°C on August 24. Ensemble guidance shows limited cooling from isolated convection, keeping the distribution centered in the upper 30s. Lower-probability tails (40°C at 5%, sub-36°C under 10% combined) capture residual uncertainty around shower timing or localized intensification. Updated model runs and any new official bulletins on the 26th remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日重慶氣溫最高？
8月26日重慶氣溫最高？
38°C 42%
39°C 28%
37°C 20%
36°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
6%
37°C
20%
38°C
42%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 42%
39°C 28%
37°C 20%
36°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
32°C or below
$640 交易量
<1%
33°C
$511 交易量
<1%
34°C
$738 交易量
2%
35°C
$713 交易量
2%
36°C
$337 交易量
6%
37°C
$457 交易量
20%
38°C
$417 交易量
42%
39°C
$433 交易量
28%
40°C
$449 交易量
5%
41°C
$3 交易量
<1%
42°C or higher
$6 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate daytime highs on August 26 will generally reach 37–39°C across much of the municipality, with local spots potentially hitting 40°C under the influence of Typhoon Zitan’s peripheral flow.** Center-city readings are projected around 28–38°C amid mostly cloudy to clear conditions and scattered afternoon showers that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on 38°C (39.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C (27%) and 37°C (20.5%), reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical late-August climatology for the region.
Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover during peak insolation hours have sustained a multi-day heatwave, with 22 districts exceeding 37°C and several surpassing 40°C on August 24. Ensemble guidance shows limited cooling from isolated convection, keeping the distribution centered in the upper 30s. Lower-probability tails (40°C at 5%, sub-36°C under 10% combined) capture residual uncertainty around shower timing or localized intensification. Updated model runs and any new official bulletins on the 26th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,704結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate daytime highs on August 26 will generally reach 37–39°C across much of the municipality, with local spots potentially hitting 40°C under the influence of Typhoon Zitan’s peripheral flow.** Center-city readings are projected around 28–38°C amid mostly cloudy to clear conditions and scattered afternoon showers that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on 38°C (39.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C (27%) and 37°C (20.5%), reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical late-August climatology for the region.
Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover during peak insolation hours have sustained a multi-day heatwave, with 22 districts exceeding 37°C and several surpassing 40°C on August 24. Ensemble guidance shows limited cooling from isolated convection, keeping the distribution centered in the upper 30s. Lower-probability tails (40°C at 5%, sub-36°C under 10% combined) capture residual uncertainty around shower timing or localized intensification. Updated model runs and any new official bulletins on the 26th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,704結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate daytime highs on August 26 will generally reach 37–39°C across much of the municipality, with local spots potentially hitting 40°C under the influence of Typhoon Zitan’s peripheral flow.** Center-city readings are projected around 28–38°C amid mostly cloudy to clear conditions and scattered afternoon showers that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on 38°C (39.5% implied probability), followed by 39°C (27%) and 37°C (20.5%), reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus and historical late-August climatology for the region. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated dew points, and minimal cloud cover during peak insolation hours have sustained a multi-day heatwave, with 22 districts exceeding 37°C and several surpassing 40°C on August 24. Ensemble guidance shows limited cooling from isolated convection, keeping the distribution centered in the upper 30s. Lower-probability tails (40°C at 5%, sub-36°C under 10% combined) capture residual uncertainty around shower timing or localized intensification. Updated model runs and any new official bulletins on the 26th remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions