Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private services indicate sunny conditions and southwest winds of 5–10 mph will drive strong daytime heating over Houston on August 23, supporting a daily maximum near 102 °F. Recent August 2026 observations show persistent above-normal temperatures, with highs reaching 98–100 °F in the prior week amid elevated dew points that amplify sensible heat. Historical climatology places the Aug 23 average high at 93 °F and the record at 102 °F, so current guidance aligns with the upper end of the distribution. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability on 100–101 °F and 34.5 % on 98–99 °F incorporates residual model spread and the narrow margin between forecast highs and official station readings at Hobby or Intercontinental. An updated NWS forecast discussion or afternoon model run remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月23日休斯敦的最高溫度？
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 34%
102-103°F 13%
104-105°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
93°F或以下
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F 或以上
<1%
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 34%
102-103°F 13%
104-105°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
93°F或以下
$113 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$105 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$201 交易量
3%
98-99°F
$515 交易量
34%
100-101°F
$346 交易量
53%
102-103°F
$337 交易量
13%
104-105°F
$199 交易量
3%
106-107°F
$74 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$128 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$158 交易量
<1%
112°F 或以上
$284 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private services indicate sunny conditions and southwest winds of 5–10 mph will drive strong daytime heating over Houston on August 23, supporting a daily maximum near 102 °F. Recent August 2026 observations show persistent above-normal temperatures, with highs reaching 98–100 °F in the prior week amid elevated dew points that amplify sensible heat. Historical climatology places the Aug 23 average high at 93 °F and the record at 102 °F, so current guidance aligns with the upper end of the distribution. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability on 100–101 °F and 34.5 % on 98–99 °F incorporates residual model spread and the narrow margin between forecast highs and official station readings at Hobby or Intercontinental. An updated NWS forecast discussion or afternoon model run remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,458結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private services indicate sunny conditions and southwest winds of 5–10 mph will drive strong daytime heating over Houston on August 23, supporting a daily maximum near 102 °F. Recent August 2026 observations show persistent above-normal temperatures, with highs reaching 98–100 °F in the prior week amid elevated dew points that amplify sensible heat. Historical climatology places the Aug 23 average high at 93 °F and the record at 102 °F, so current guidance aligns with the upper end of the distribution. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability on 100–101 °F and 34.5 % on 98–99 °F incorporates residual model spread and the narrow margin between forecast highs and official station readings at Hobby or Intercontinental. An updated NWS forecast discussion or afternoon model run remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,458結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETForecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private services indicate sunny conditions and southwest winds of 5–10 mph will drive strong daytime heating over Houston on August 23, supporting a daily maximum near 102 °F. Recent August 2026 observations show persistent above-normal temperatures, with highs reaching 98–100 °F in the prior week amid elevated dew points that amplify sensible heat. Historical climatology places the Aug 23 average high at 93 °F and the record at 102 °F, so current guidance aligns with the upper end of the distribution. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability on 100–101 °F and 34.5 % on 98–99 °F incorporates residual model spread and the narrow margin between forecast highs and official station readings at Hobby or Intercontinental. An updated NWS forecast discussion or afternoon model run remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions