Official observations from Chengdu meteorological stations confirm a minimum temperature of 24°C on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology in the Sichuan basin where persistent monsoon humidity, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically produce overnight lows of 22–26°C. Regional forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies consistently projected this range, supporting the market’s near-certain 24°C consensus at 99.5% implied probability. A shift to 23°C or 26°C would require either an anomalous cold-air intrusion or a station-specific measurement discrepancy outside standard resolution criteria, both statistically rare under current synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日成都最低溫？
8月24日成都最低溫？
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$6,929 交易量
$6,929 交易量
2026-08-24
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$6,929 交易量
$6,929 交易量
2026-08-24
20°C或以下
$179 交易量
否
21°C
$282 交易量
否
22°C
$716 交易量
否
23°C
$221 交易量
否
24°C
$949 交易量
是
25°C
$3,132 交易量
否
26°C
$305 交易量
否
27°C
$375 交易量
否
28°C
$254 交易量
否
29°C
$120 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$395 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Chengdu meteorological stations confirm a minimum temperature of 24°C on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology in the Sichuan basin where persistent monsoon humidity, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically produce overnight lows of 22–26°C. Regional forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies consistently projected this range, supporting the market’s near-certain 24°C consensus at 99.5% implied probability. A shift to 23°C or 26°C would require either an anomalous cold-air intrusion or a station-specific measurement discrepancy outside standard resolution criteria, both statistically rare under current synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$6,929結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Chengdu meteorological stations confirm a minimum temperature of 24°C on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology in the Sichuan basin where persistent monsoon humidity, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically produce overnight lows of 22–26°C. Regional forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies consistently projected this range, supporting the market’s near-certain 24°C consensus at 99.5% implied probability. A shift to 23°C or 26°C would require either an anomalous cold-air intrusion or a station-specific measurement discrepancy outside standard resolution criteria, both statistically rare under current synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,929結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Chengdu meteorological stations confirm a minimum temperature of 24°C on August 24, aligning with late-August climatology in the Sichuan basin where persistent monsoon humidity, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typically produce overnight lows of 22–26°C. Regional forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies consistently projected this range, supporting the market’s near-certain 24°C consensus at 99.5% implied probability. A shift to 23°C or 26°C would require either an anomalous cold-air intrusion or a station-specific measurement discrepancy outside standard resolution criteria, both statistically rare under current synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions