Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日釜山的最高溫度？
8月2日釜山的最高溫度？
36°C或以下 31%
37°C 25%
38°C 23%
39°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
36°C或以下
31%
37°C
25%
38°C
23%
39°C
18%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C或更高
<1%
36°C或以下 31%
37°C 25%
38°C 23%
39°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
36°C或以下
$2,188 交易量
31%
37°C
$797 交易量
25%
38°C
$457 交易量
23%
39°C
$1,381 交易量
18%
40°C
$1,303 交易量
5%
41°C
$635 交易量
2%
42°C
$579 交易量
1%
43°C
$366 交易量
<1%
44°C
$282 交易量
<1%
45°C
$282 交易量
<1%
46°C或更高
$282 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$8,552結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,552結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions