Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a maximum of 36°C for Beijing on July 31, driven by peak summer solar insolation, urban heat island effects, and reduced afternoon cloud cover allowing full diurnal warming. This aligns with late-July climatology where highs cluster near 33–36°C, and current observations plus short-range guidance show no significant convective suppression that would cap readings 1–2°C lower. Trader consensus at 100% for 36°C reflects this tightening agreement as the day progresses, though a late surge in monsoon moisture or unexpected overcast could still trim the peak below threshold before official station verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日北京最高溫度？
7月31日北京最高溫度？
36°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$73,408 交易量
$73,408 交易量
2026-07-31
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
是
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或更高
否
36°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$73,408 交易量
$73,408 交易量
2026-07-31
30°C或以下
$1,859 交易量
否
31°C
$7,579 交易量
否
32°C
$7,028 交易量
否
33°C
$8,181 交易量
否
34°C
$11,759 交易量
否
35°C
$11,303 交易量
否
36°C
$12,700 交易量
是
37°C
$8,930 交易量
否
38°C
$2,932 交易量
否
39°C
$731 交易量
否
40°C或更高
$406 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a maximum of 36°C for Beijing on July 31, driven by peak summer solar insolation, urban heat island effects, and reduced afternoon cloud cover allowing full diurnal warming. This aligns with late-July climatology where highs cluster near 33–36°C, and current observations plus short-range guidance show no significant convective suppression that would cap readings 1–2°C lower. Trader consensus at 100% for 36°C reflects this tightening agreement as the day progresses, though a late surge in monsoon moisture or unexpected overcast could still trim the peak below threshold before official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$73,408結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a maximum of 36°C for Beijing on July 31, driven by peak summer solar insolation, urban heat island effects, and reduced afternoon cloud cover allowing full diurnal warming. This aligns with late-July climatology where highs cluster near 33–36°C, and current observations plus short-range guidance show no significant convective suppression that would cap readings 1–2°C lower. Trader consensus at 100% for 36°C reflects this tightening agreement as the day progresses, though a late surge in monsoon moisture or unexpected overcast could still trim the peak below threshold before official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$73,408結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a maximum of 36°C for Beijing on July 31, driven by peak summer solar insolation, urban heat island effects, and reduced afternoon cloud cover allowing full diurnal warming. This aligns with late-July climatology where highs cluster near 33–36°C, and current observations plus short-range guidance show no significant convective suppression that would cap readings 1–2°C lower. Trader consensus at 100% for 36°C reflects this tightening agreement as the day progresses, though a late surge in monsoon moisture or unexpected overcast could still trim the peak below threshold before official station verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions