Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 2, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities. Typical late-summer conditions under the subtropical high, combined with moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, limit extreme heat despite regional warmth. Historical August averages near 28°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without significant warm advection support trader focus on these narrow outcomes. Minor shifts in short-range guidance could adjust final readings, but consensus currently favors this range over higher or lower thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月2日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
27°C 48%
28°C 30%
26°C 12%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
48%
28°C
30%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 30%
26°C 12%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
$307 交易量
<1%
24°C
$401 交易量
<1%
25°C
$185 交易量
2%
26°C
$481 交易量
12%
27°C
$835 交易量
48%
28°C
$822 交易量
30%
29°C
$478 交易量
5%
30°C
$871 交易量
4%
31°C
$198 交易量
2%
32°C
$200 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 2, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities. Typical late-summer conditions under the subtropical high, combined with moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, limit extreme heat despite regional warmth. Historical August averages near 28°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without significant warm advection support trader focus on these narrow outcomes. Minor shifts in short-range guidance could adjust final readings, but consensus currently favors this range over higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,990結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 2, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities. Typical late-summer conditions under the subtropical high, combined with moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, limit extreme heat despite regional warmth. Historical August averages near 28°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without significant warm advection support trader focus on these narrow outcomes. Minor shifts in short-range guidance could adjust final readings, but consensus currently favors this range over higher or lower thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,990結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 2, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities. Typical late-summer conditions under the subtropical high, combined with moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, limit extreme heat despite regional warmth. Historical August averages near 28°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without significant warm advection support trader focus on these narrow outcomes. Minor shifts in short-range guidance could adjust final readings, but consensus currently favors this range over higher or lower thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions