A severe heat wave gripping Israel through early August, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and advection of hot, dry Saharan air, underpins trader expectations for Tel Aviv's August 3 high. Official Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently projects a 33°C maximum under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly flow, consistent with coastal moderation from Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap urban readings 2–4°C below inland extremes. Recent model runs and ensemble consensus cluster around 32–34°C, with limited afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting the upper end of that range; historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly. The market's heavy weighting toward 34°C reflects uncertainty in whether the peak heat-wave day will push the official maximum slightly above the forecast, while lower-probability outcomes above 35°C remain constrained by the stabilizing marine influence. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations on August 3 will determine the recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月3日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
34°C 54%
33°C 20%
35°C 18%
31°C or below 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
20%
34°C
54%
35°C
18%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 20%
35°C 18%
31°C or below 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
31°C or below
$30 交易量
2%
32°C
$120 交易量
2%
33°C
$1,756 交易量
20%
34°C
$225 交易量
54%
35°C
$480 交易量
18%
36°C
$105 交易量
2%
37°C
$52 交易量
2%
38°C
$101 交易量
1%
39°C
$124 交易量
<1%
40°C
$183 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$383 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A severe heat wave gripping Israel through early August, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and advection of hot, dry Saharan air, underpins trader expectations for Tel Aviv's August 3 high. Official Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently projects a 33°C maximum under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly flow, consistent with coastal moderation from Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap urban readings 2–4°C below inland extremes. Recent model runs and ensemble consensus cluster around 32–34°C, with limited afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting the upper end of that range; historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly. The market's heavy weighting toward 34°C reflects uncertainty in whether the peak heat-wave day will push the official maximum slightly above the forecast, while lower-probability outcomes above 35°C remain constrained by the stabilizing marine influence. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations on August 3 will determine the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,558結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A severe heat wave gripping Israel through early August, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and advection of hot, dry Saharan air, underpins trader expectations for Tel Aviv's August 3 high. Official Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently projects a 33°C maximum under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly flow, consistent with coastal moderation from Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap urban readings 2–4°C below inland extremes. Recent model runs and ensemble consensus cluster around 32–34°C, with limited afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting the upper end of that range; historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly. The market's heavy weighting toward 34°C reflects uncertainty in whether the peak heat-wave day will push the official maximum slightly above the forecast, while lower-probability outcomes above 35°C remain constrained by the stabilizing marine influence. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations on August 3 will determine the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,558結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A severe heat wave gripping Israel through early August, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and advection of hot, dry Saharan air, underpins trader expectations for Tel Aviv's August 3 high. Official Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently projects a 33°C maximum under mostly sunny skies with light northwesterly flow, consistent with coastal moderation from Mediterranean sea breezes that typically cap urban readings 2–4°C below inland extremes. Recent model runs and ensemble consensus cluster around 32–34°C, with limited afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting the upper end of that range; historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the elevated anomaly. The market's heavy weighting toward 34°C reflects uncertainty in whether the peak heat-wave day will push the official maximum slightly above the forecast, while lower-probability outcomes above 35°C remain constrained by the stabilizing marine influence. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations on August 3 will determine the recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions