Short-term numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Qingdao under a warm, subsiding air mass on August 7, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow supporting daily maximums near 36–37 °C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between these two leading outcomes, while 38 °C or higher would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence than most runs indicate. Historical August averages hover near 29 °C, so current model consensus reflects an anomalous warm spell. Updated 12–48-hour forecasts and observational data from Qingdao stations on August 6 will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日青島氣溫最高?
37°C 35%
36°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 14%
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
14%
36°C
30%
37°C
35%
38°C
16%
39°C
10%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
4%
37°C 35%
36°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 14%
31°C或以下
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
14%
36°C
30%
37°C
35%
38°C
16%
39°C
10%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-term numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Qingdao under a warm, subsiding air mass on August 7, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow supporting daily maximums near 36–37 °C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and small differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between these two leading outcomes, while 38 °C or higher would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence than most runs indicate. Historical August averages hover near 29 °C, so current model consensus reflects an anomalous warm spell. Updated 12–48-hour forecasts and observational data from Qingdao stations on August 6 will provide the clearest resolution signals ahead of the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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