Recent short-term forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Chengdu highs near 31–34°C for August 7 amid typical Sichuan Basin summer humidity and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering around 31–33°C in trader consensus, as afternoon convection and variable cloud cover remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C under clearer, subsiding conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around official meteorological service measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日成都最高溫度?
32°C 25%
33°C 21%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
18%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
12%
35°C或以上
10%
32°C 25%
33°C 21%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
18%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
12%
35°C或以上
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Chengdu highs near 31–34°C for August 7 amid typical Sichuan Basin summer humidity and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering around 31–33°C in trader consensus, as afternoon convection and variable cloud cover remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C under clearer, subsiding conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around official meteorological service measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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