Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 7, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Subtropical humidity and regional atmospheric patterns, including limited daytime heating under cloud cover or light precipitation, have suppressed temperatures below the city's typical early-August average of 33–34°C. Official observations will resolve the market based on verified station data, with minimal historical precedent for deviations exceeding 1–2°C from consensus guidance this close to the period. Unanticipated clear skies or a shift in steering winds could allow brief warming toward 32°C, though current ensemble runs show low likelihood of such changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日重慶氣溫最高？
8月7日重慶氣溫最高？
30°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
25°C或以下 <1%
$67,213 交易量
$67,213 交易量
2026-08-07
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
25°C或以下 <1%
$67,213 交易量
$67,213 交易量
2026-08-07
25°C或以下
$240 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,291 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,623 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,572 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,731 交易量
<1%
30°C
$8,312 交易量
100%
31°C
$7,978 交易量
1%
32°C
$12,284 交易量
1%
33°C
$4,294 交易量
<1%
34°C
$4,826 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$12,063 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 7, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Subtropical humidity and regional atmospheric patterns, including limited daytime heating under cloud cover or light precipitation, have suppressed temperatures below the city's typical early-August average of 33–34°C. Official observations will resolve the market based on verified station data, with minimal historical precedent for deviations exceeding 1–2°C from consensus guidance this close to the period. Unanticipated clear skies or a shift in steering winds could allow brief warming toward 32°C, though current ensemble runs show low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$67,213結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 7, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Subtropical humidity and regional atmospheric patterns, including limited daytime heating under cloud cover or light precipitation, have suppressed temperatures below the city's typical early-August average of 33–34°C. Official observations will resolve the market based on verified station data, with minimal historical precedent for deviations exceeding 1–2°C from consensus guidance this close to the period. Unanticipated clear skies or a shift in steering winds could allow brief warming toward 32°C, though current ensemble runs show low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$67,213結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 7, aligning with the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Subtropical humidity and regional atmospheric patterns, including limited daytime heating under cloud cover or light precipitation, have suppressed temperatures below the city's typical early-August average of 33–34°C. Official observations will resolve the market based on verified station data, with minimal historical precedent for deviations exceeding 1–2°C from consensus guidance this close to the period. Unanticipated clear skies or a shift in steering winds could allow brief warming toward 32°C, though current ensemble runs show low likelihood of such changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions