Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum temperature on August 9, 2026, because official forecasts and model guidance align closely with the long-term August climatological average of 32–33°C under typical equatorial conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Malaysian meteorological sources and extended-range models such as those from AccuWeather project daytime peaks in this narrow band, consistent with historical urban heat-island observations that occasionally lift readings one degree above the 32°C baseline. The market-implied odds therefore represent the crowd’s assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous warming signal. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either persistent thick cloud cover suppressing solar insolation or an unusually vigorous convective outbreak that accelerates cooling before the daily peak is reached; both remain low-probability deviations given current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日吉隆坡的最高溫度?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$47,555 交易量
$47,555 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$47,555 交易量
$47,555 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum temperature on August 9, 2026, because official forecasts and model guidance align closely with the long-term August climatological average of 32–33°C under typical equatorial conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Malaysian meteorological sources and extended-range models such as those from AccuWeather project daytime peaks in this narrow band, consistent with historical urban heat-island observations that occasionally lift readings one degree above the 32°C baseline. The market-implied odds therefore represent the crowd’s assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous warming signal. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either persistent thick cloud cover suppressing solar insolation or an unusually vigorous convective outbreak that accelerates cooling before the daily peak is reached; both remain low-probability deviations given current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions