Recent short-range weather model runs and official guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) and Met Office indicate a transition toward more moderate conditions in southern Germany after early-August heat, with Munich’s August 7 maximum most likely falling in the mid-20s Celsius amid variable cloud cover and possible showers. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–28 °C because ensemble spreads remain wide on timing of any Atlantic front and daytime heating potential under partly sunny skies, while climatological baselines place normal August highs near 24–25 °C. Official observations from prior days (31–36 °C) have kept probabilities elevated relative to long-term norms, but resolution hinges on precise peak readings from Munich stations on the day itself.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日慕尼黑最高溫度?
27°C 32%
28°C 26%
26°C 22%
29°C 15%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
15%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 32%
28°C 26%
26°C 22%
29°C 15%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
15%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range weather model runs and official guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service (DWD) and Met Office indicate a transition toward more moderate conditions in southern Germany after early-August heat, with Munich’s August 7 maximum most likely falling in the mid-20s Celsius amid variable cloud cover and possible showers. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–28 °C because ensemble spreads remain wide on timing of any Atlantic front and daytime heating potential under partly sunny skies, while climatological baselines place normal August highs near 24–25 °C. Official observations from prior days (31–36 °C) have kept probabilities elevated relative to long-term norms, but resolution hinges on precise peak readings from Munich stations on the day itself.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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