Strong scientific consensus from multiple forecast models and early observational data supports the market-implied certainty around 28°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on August 7. A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Marmara region has driven steady warm advection under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning the daytime maximum with the long-term August climatological normal of 28–30°C. Recent European and global ensemble runs show minimal deviation, with no significant cloud cover, wind shifts, or moisture influx expected to alter the outcome. While small uncertainties remain from localized urban heat island effects or microscale variations in measurement stations, the convergence of official guidance and real-time conditions makes shifts to adjacent bins unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月7日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$36,188 交易量
$36,188 交易量
2026-08-07
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$36,188 交易量
$36,188 交易量
2026-08-07
24°C或以下
$641 交易量
否
25°C
$718 交易量
否
26°C
$1,552 交易量
否
27°C
$4,655 交易量
否
28°C
$11,513 交易量
是
29°C
$8,744 交易量
否
30°C
$3,443 交易量
否
31°C
$2,333 交易量
否
32°C
$1,083 交易量
否
33°C
$525 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$981 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong scientific consensus from multiple forecast models and early observational data supports the market-implied certainty around 28°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on August 7. A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Marmara region has driven steady warm advection under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning the daytime maximum with the long-term August climatological normal of 28–30°C. Recent European and global ensemble runs show minimal deviation, with no significant cloud cover, wind shifts, or moisture influx expected to alter the outcome. While small uncertainties remain from localized urban heat island effects or microscale variations in measurement stations, the convergence of official guidance and real-time conditions makes shifts to adjacent bins unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$36,188結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong scientific consensus from multiple forecast models and early observational data supports the market-implied certainty around 28°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on August 7. A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Marmara region has driven steady warm advection under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning the daytime maximum with the long-term August climatological normal of 28–30°C. Recent European and global ensemble runs show minimal deviation, with no significant cloud cover, wind shifts, or moisture influx expected to alter the outcome. While small uncertainties remain from localized urban heat island effects or microscale variations in measurement stations, the convergence of official guidance and real-time conditions makes shifts to adjacent bins unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,188結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Strong scientific consensus from multiple forecast models and early observational data supports the market-implied certainty around 28°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on August 7. A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Marmara region has driven steady warm advection under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning the daytime maximum with the long-term August climatological normal of 28–30°C. Recent European and global ensemble runs show minimal deviation, with no significant cloud cover, wind shifts, or moisture influx expected to alter the outcome. While small uncertainties remain from localized urban heat island effects or microscale variations in measurement stations, the convergence of official guidance and real-time conditions makes shifts to adjacent bins unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions