Persistent high-pressure blocking over the Mediterranean and Po Valley is sustaining subsidence warming and southerly advection of subtropical air masses, with latest ECMWF and GFS runs indicating Milan maximum temperatures of 34–37 °C on 10 August. Model spread centers on whether boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating peak at 35 °C or 36 °C, while urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplify daytime readings by 1–2 °C above regional baselines. Recent heatwave persistence through early August has kept ensemble probabilities tightly clustered around these values, with only modest upside risk from delayed frontal passage. Short-range guidance updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the 35–36 °C resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日米蘭的最高溫度?
36°C 43%
35°C 38%
37°C 10%
34°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
38%
36°C
43%
37°C
10%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C或更高
<1%
36°C 43%
35°C 38%
37°C 10%
34°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
38%
36°C
43%
37°C
10%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high-pressure blocking over the Mediterranean and Po Valley is sustaining subsidence warming and southerly advection of subtropical air masses, with latest ECMWF and GFS runs indicating Milan maximum temperatures of 34–37 °C on 10 August. Model spread centers on whether boundary-layer mixing and diurnal heating peak at 35 °C or 36 °C, while urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplify daytime readings by 1–2 °C above regional baselines. Recent heatwave persistence through early August has kept ensemble probabilities tightly clustered around these values, with only modest upside risk from delayed frontal passage. Short-range guidance updates over the next 48 hours will narrow the 35–36 °C resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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