Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 10 converge on a daily maximum near 33–34°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. Light winds and minimal cloud cover limit cooling and vertical mixing, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally at official measurement sites. Model consensus from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international guidance shows little day-to-day variability, with no incoming trough or sea-breeze strengthening expected to suppress the peak. This stability positions 34°C as the mode in trader pricing (59.5% implied probability), with 35°C (30.5%) reflecting residual uncertainty around exact station readings or minor forecast adjustments. Lower outcomes like 33°C remain possible only if unexpected marine influence strengthens, while probabilities above 36°C stay minimal absent a sudden heat surge. Updated model runs and IMS briefings in the final 24 hours will be the primary catalysts for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
34°C 59%
35°C 30%
33°C 9%
36°C 5%
$10,585 交易量
$10,585 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
59%
35°C
30%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 59%
35°C 30%
33°C 9%
36°C 5%
$10,585 交易量
$10,585 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
59%
35°C
30%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 10 converge on a daily maximum near 33–34°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. Light winds and minimal cloud cover limit cooling and vertical mixing, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally at official measurement sites. Model consensus from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international guidance shows little day-to-day variability, with no incoming trough or sea-breeze strengthening expected to suppress the peak. This stability positions 34°C as the mode in trader pricing (59.5% implied probability), with 35°C (30.5%) reflecting residual uncertainty around exact station readings or minor forecast adjustments. Lower outcomes like 33°C remain possible only if unexpected marine influence strengthens, while probabilities above 36°C stay minimal absent a sudden heat surge. Updated model runs and IMS briefings in the final 24 hours will be the primary catalysts for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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