Recent high-pressure dominance across northern Italy, with clear skies and light easterly winds, underpins the market's concentration around 33–35°C for Milan's August 9 maximum. Numerical models from the Met Office and BBC consensus indicate peak temperatures near 35°C under strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could trim the peak by 1°C. This aligns with the 55% implied probability for 34°C as the modal outcome, reflecting trader weighting of ensemble spread and historical August maxima that rarely exceed 32°C. Final resolution depends on official station readings, with last model runs expected overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日米蘭的最高溫度?
34°C 55%
35°C 24%
33°C 20%
36°C 4%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
20%
34°C
55%
35°C
24%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 55%
35°C 24%
33°C 20%
36°C 4%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
20%
34°C
55%
35°C
24%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-pressure dominance across northern Italy, with clear skies and light easterly winds, underpins the market's concentration around 33–35°C for Milan's August 9 maximum. Numerical models from the Met Office and BBC consensus indicate peak temperatures near 35°C under strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could trim the peak by 1°C. This aligns with the 55% implied probability for 34°C as the modal outcome, reflecting trader weighting of ensemble spread and historical August maxima that rarely exceed 32°C. Final resolution depends on official station readings, with last model runs expected overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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