Current short-range forecasts from models supporting the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 10, consistent with the market’s top implied probabilities clustered around 37°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical August monsoon conditions, and limited cloud cover or thunderstorm activity are expected to sustain heat without significant moderation, aligning with historical averages near 33–34°C but trending warmer this period. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus on these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized convection or measurement variations at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日廣州最高溫度?
37°C 43%
38°C 31%
36°C 23%
35°C 7%
$17,353 交易量
$17,353 交易量
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
7%
36°C
23%
37°C
43%
38°C
31%
39°C
2%
40°C或以上
1%
37°C 43%
38°C 31%
36°C 23%
35°C 7%
$17,353 交易量
$17,353 交易量
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
7%
36°C
23%
37°C
43%
38°C
31%
39°C
2%
40°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from models supporting the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily high of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 10, consistent with the market’s top implied probabilities clustered around 37°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical August monsoon conditions, and limited cloud cover or thunderstorm activity are expected to sustain heat without significant moderation, aligning with historical averages near 33–34°C but trending warmer this period. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus on these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized convection or measurement variations at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions