Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou today, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for that outcome and 30% for 37°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, persistent high solar insolation, elevated humidity levels above 70%, and limited cloud cover or precipitation during peak heating hours support such readings, consistent with historical August averages of 33–35°C but elevated by current atmospheric stability. Urban heat island effects from the dense city environment can add 1–2°C locally. Recent short-term model runs show minimal disagreement on maximum values, though afternoon convective activity or slight shifts in steering winds could cap or boost the high by 1°C. Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日廣州最高溫度？
8月9日廣州最高溫度？
38°C 55%
37°C 31%
39°C 11%
36°C 6%
最新
$26,222 交易量
最新
$26,222 交易量
2026-08-09
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
6%
37°C
31%
38°C
55%
39°C
11%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
<1%
38°C 55%
37°C 31%
39°C 11%
36°C 6%
最新
$26,222 交易量
最新
$26,222 交易量
2026-08-09
31°C或以下
$549 交易量
<1%
32°C
$695 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,362 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,351 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,913 交易量
1%
36°C
$3,000 交易量
6%
37°C
$3,539 交易量
31%
38°C
$4,516 交易量
55%
39°C
$2,718 交易量
11%
40°C
$3,204 交易量
2%
41°C或更高
$3,375 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou today, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for that outcome and 30% for 37°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, persistent high solar insolation, elevated humidity levels above 70%, and limited cloud cover or precipitation during peak heating hours support such readings, consistent with historical August averages of 33–35°C but elevated by current atmospheric stability. Urban heat island effects from the dense city environment can add 1–2°C locally. Recent short-term model runs show minimal disagreement on maximum values, though afternoon convective activity or slight shifts in steering winds could cap or boost the high by 1°C. Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$26,222結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou today, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for that outcome and 30% for 37°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, persistent high solar insolation, elevated humidity levels above 70%, and limited cloud cover or precipitation during peak heating hours support such readings, consistent with historical August averages of 33–35°C but elevated by current atmospheric stability. Urban heat island effects from the dense city environment can add 1–2°C locally. Recent short-term model runs show minimal disagreement on maximum values, though afternoon convective activity or slight shifts in steering winds could cap or boost the high by 1°C. Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,222結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETForecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a peak temperature near 38°C in Guangzhou today, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for that outcome and 30% for 37°C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, persistent high solar insolation, elevated humidity levels above 70%, and limited cloud cover or precipitation during peak heating hours support such readings, consistent with historical August averages of 33–35°C but elevated by current atmospheric stability. Urban heat island effects from the dense city environment can add 1–2°C locally. Recent short-term model runs show minimal disagreement on maximum values, though afternoon convective activity or slight shifts in steering winds could cap or boost the high by 1°C. Traders are weighting these consensus forecasts heavily ahead of official daily maximum confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions