A cold front supported by an upper-level trough is the dominant factor anchoring trader consensus around a 15°C high for Cape Town on August 10, with market-implied odds of 60.5% for that outcome and 30.5% for 16°C. South African Weather Service guidance highlights post-frontal clearing under fresh southerly breezes that limit daytime warming in the region’s Mediterranean winter regime, where August climatological averages near 17°C but frontal systems routinely suppress maxima to 14–16°C. Ensemble numerical weather prediction runs show modest warming potential only if subsidence strengthens rapidly, keeping probabilities for 17°C+ below 3% while lower outcomes reflect the risk of lingering cloud cover or showers. Updated SAWS briefings and model consensus through August 9 will provide the final inputs before resolution on the highest observed temperature.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日開普敦最高溫度?
15°C 57%
16°C 31%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
57%
16°C
31%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 57%
16°C 31%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
57%
16°C
31%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A cold front supported by an upper-level trough is the dominant factor anchoring trader consensus around a 15°C high for Cape Town on August 10, with market-implied odds of 60.5% for that outcome and 30.5% for 16°C. South African Weather Service guidance highlights post-frontal clearing under fresh southerly breezes that limit daytime warming in the region’s Mediterranean winter regime, where August climatological averages near 17°C but frontal systems routinely suppress maxima to 14–16°C. Ensemble numerical weather prediction runs show modest warming potential only if subsidence strengthens rapidly, keeping probabilities for 17°C+ below 3% while lower outcomes reflect the risk of lingering cloud cover or showers. Updated SAWS briefings and model consensus through August 9 will provide the final inputs before resolution on the highest observed temperature.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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警惕外部連結哦。
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