Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside KNMI guidance, position maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 9 near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes, driven by a transition from early-month heat under high pressure to moderating westerly flow with sunny intervals and lighter winds. This setup favors peak readings around 29°C, consistent with the market-implied 37% probability, while limiting upside potential from continental warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that align with historical August variability of 21–25°C averages, though short-range updates could shift odds if high pressure strengthens. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月9日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 16%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
24°C或以下
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
28%
29°C
37%
30°C
16%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 16%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
24°C或以下
$516 交易量
2%
25°C
$4 交易量
2%
26°C
$50 交易量
3%
27°C
$31 交易量
7%
28°C
$23 交易量
28%
29°C
$50 交易量
37%
30°C
$1 交易量
16%
31°C
$10 交易量
6%
32°C
$27 交易量
2%
33°C
$11 交易量
1%
34°C或以上
$26 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside KNMI guidance, position maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 9 near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes, driven by a transition from early-month heat under high pressure to moderating westerly flow with sunny intervals and lighter winds. This setup favors peak readings around 29°C, consistent with the market-implied 37% probability, while limiting upside potential from continental warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that align with historical August variability of 21–25°C averages, though short-range updates could shift odds if high pressure strengthens. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$749結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside KNMI guidance, position maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 9 near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes, driven by a transition from early-month heat under high pressure to moderating westerly flow with sunny intervals and lighter winds. This setup favors peak readings around 29°C, consistent with the market-implied 37% probability, while limiting upside potential from continental warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that align with historical August variability of 21–25°C averages, though short-range updates could shift odds if high pressure strengthens. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$749結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside KNMI guidance, position maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 9 near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes, driven by a transition from early-month heat under high pressure to moderating westerly flow with sunny intervals and lighter winds. This setup favors peak readings around 29°C, consistent with the market-implied 37% probability, while limiting upside potential from continental warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that align with historical August variability of 21–25°C averages, though short-range updates could shift odds if high pressure strengthens. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions