Recent National Center for Meteorology seasonal outlooks point to above-normal temperatures across Saudi Arabia through October 2026, with 55-80% probability of readings 1-2°C above the climatic average, setting the stage for the current market-implied odds favoring a 39°C or higher peak on August 9 in Jeddah. Typical August coastal conditions feature highs near 37-38°C moderated by Red Sea humidity and sea breezes, but persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced cloud cover can push maxima toward 40°C when daytime heating intensifies. Short-range model consensus currently clusters around 38°C, creating tight separation between the leading 40°C+ (41%) and 39°C (34.5%) outcomes; small forecast shifts in wind speed, moisture advection, or urban heat island effects could readily tip the daily maximum across these thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the elevated seasonal baseline against coastal variability ahead of the next model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月9日最高溫度?
40°C或以上 41%
39°C 35%
38°C 15%
37°C 9%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
9%
38°C
15%
39°C
35%
40°C或以上
41%
40°C或以上 41%
39°C 35%
38°C 15%
37°C 9%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
9%
38°C
15%
39°C
35%
40°C或以上
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Center for Meteorology seasonal outlooks point to above-normal temperatures across Saudi Arabia through October 2026, with 55-80% probability of readings 1-2°C above the climatic average, setting the stage for the current market-implied odds favoring a 39°C or higher peak on August 9 in Jeddah. Typical August coastal conditions feature highs near 37-38°C moderated by Red Sea humidity and sea breezes, but persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced cloud cover can push maxima toward 40°C when daytime heating intensifies. Short-range model consensus currently clusters around 38°C, creating tight separation between the leading 40°C+ (41%) and 39°C (34.5%) outcomes; small forecast shifts in wind speed, moisture advection, or urban heat island effects could readily tip the daily maximum across these thresholds. Traders appear to weigh the elevated seasonal baseline against coastal variability ahead of the next model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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