During the Indian monsoon, persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent light rain in Lucknow typically cap daytime maxima near long-term August averages of 32–34°C. Recent forecast runs from regional models and agencies project a peak of 33°C on August 9 under partly cloudy conditions with light showers, aligning with the market’s leading 41% implied probability for that exact outcome and supporting the combined 70.5% odds on 33–34°C. Slightly cooler 32°C scenarios remain plausible if heavier rainfall arrives earlier, while the low 10.5% chance assigned to 35°C or higher reflects limited subsidence or clearing expected in the short term. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
8月9日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
33°C 40%
34°C 30%
32°C 21%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
21%
33°C
40%
34°C
30%
35°C
10%
36°C或更高
2%
33°C 40%
34°C 30%
32°C 21%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
26°C或以下
$163 交易量
<1%
27°C
$70 交易量
<1%
28°C
$55 交易量
1%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$33 交易量
1%
31°C
$41 交易量
5%
32°C
$70 交易量
21%
33°C
$241 交易量
40%
34°C
$324 交易量
30%
35°C
$243 交易量
10%
36°C或更高
$38 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.During the Indian monsoon, persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent light rain in Lucknow typically cap daytime maxima near long-term August averages of 32–34°C. Recent forecast runs from regional models and agencies project a peak of 33°C on August 9 under partly cloudy conditions with light showers, aligning with the market’s leading 41% implied probability for that exact outcome and supporting the combined 70.5% odds on 33–34°C. Slightly cooler 32°C scenarios remain plausible if heavier rainfall arrives earlier, while the low 10.5% chance assigned to 35°C or higher reflects limited subsidence or clearing expected in the short term. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,282結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.During the Indian monsoon, persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent light rain in Lucknow typically cap daytime maxima near long-term August averages of 32–34°C. Recent forecast runs from regional models and agencies project a peak of 33°C on August 9 under partly cloudy conditions with light showers, aligning with the market’s leading 41% implied probability for that exact outcome and supporting the combined 70.5% odds on 33–34°C. Slightly cooler 32°C scenarios remain plausible if heavier rainfall arrives earlier, while the low 10.5% chance assigned to 35°C or higher reflects limited subsidence or clearing expected in the short term. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,282結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ETDuring the Indian monsoon, persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent light rain in Lucknow typically cap daytime maxima near long-term August averages of 32–34°C. Recent forecast runs from regional models and agencies project a peak of 33°C on August 9 under partly cloudy conditions with light showers, aligning with the market’s leading 41% implied probability for that exact outcome and supporting the combined 70.5% odds on 33–34°C. Slightly cooler 32°C scenarios remain plausible if heavier rainfall arrives earlier, while the low 10.5% chance assigned to 35°C or higher reflects limited subsidence or clearing expected in the short term. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions