Recent forecast consensus from the UK Met Office and AccuWeather positions Milan’s August 7 maximum near 33–35°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence across the Po Valley, promoting clear skies and efficient daytime heating. This alignment with seasonal warm-spell patterns—amplified by urban heat-island effects and light winds—drives the market’s 58% implied probability on 34°C and secondary weighting on 35°C. Model agreement on limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage reduces downside risk to 33°C or below, while historical August maxima and boundary-layer variability keep slim tails on 36°C-plus outcomes. Updated runs through the day will refine resolution criteria before official station observations close the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日米蘭的最高溫度?
34°C 58%
35°C 25%
33°C 13%
36°C 7%
$61,899 交易量
$61,899 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
58%
35°C
25%
36°C
7%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 58%
35°C 25%
33°C 13%
36°C 7%
$61,899 交易量
$61,899 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
58%
35°C
25%
36°C
7%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from the UK Met Office and AccuWeather positions Milan’s August 7 maximum near 33–35°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence across the Po Valley, promoting clear skies and efficient daytime heating. This alignment with seasonal warm-spell patterns—amplified by urban heat-island effects and light winds—drives the market’s 58% implied probability on 34°C and secondary weighting on 35°C. Model agreement on limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage reduces downside risk to 33°C or below, while historical August maxima and boundary-layer variability keep slim tails on 36°C-plus outcomes. Updated runs through the day will refine resolution criteria before official station observations close the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions