Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai highs near 34–35°C (93–95°F) on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and possible afternoon cloud build-up. Trader consensus clusters on 33–34°C because recent days have shown peaks moderated by scattered convection and variable insolation rather than clear-sky maxima, aligning with climatological August averages of 31–33°C. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high, which can enhance or suppress surface heating, alongside urban heat island effects and soil moisture influencing boundary-layer temperatures. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze and any weak frontal influences become clearer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日上海最高溫度?
34°C 32%
33°C 29%
35°C 19%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
32%
35°C
19%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 32%
33°C 29%
35°C 19%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
32%
35°C
19%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai highs near 34–35°C (93–95°F) on August 7 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and possible afternoon cloud build-up. Trader consensus clusters on 33–34°C because recent days have shown peaks moderated by scattered convection and variable insolation rather than clear-sky maxima, aligning with climatological August averages of 31–33°C. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high, which can enhance or suppress surface heating, alongside urban heat island effects and soil moisture influencing boundary-layer temperatures. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze and any weak frontal influences become clearer.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions