Official forecasts from agencies including China's meteorological services project a daytime high of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 7 under predominantly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's near-certain 37°C outcome. This positioning draws from consensus model guidance showing typical summer conditions—high humidity, limited cloud suppression of solar heating, and regional temperatures peaking in the mid-30s Celsius. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, while the current setup lacks cooling factors such as significant rainfall or stronger winds that could lower maxima. Actual station readings could deviate if afternoon convection intensifies unexpectedly or if localized measurement timing shifts the peak by 1°C, though late-day observations are unlikely to alter the outcome materially.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日廣州最高溫度?
37°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$58,328 交易量
$58,328 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或更高
否
37°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$58,328 交易量
$58,328 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或更高
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from agencies including China's meteorological services project a daytime high of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 7 under predominantly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's near-certain 37°C outcome. This positioning draws from consensus model guidance showing typical summer conditions—high humidity, limited cloud suppression of solar heating, and regional temperatures peaking in the mid-30s Celsius. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, while the current setup lacks cooling factors such as significant rainfall or stronger winds that could lower maxima. Actual station readings could deviate if afternoon convection intensifies unexpectedly or if localized measurement timing shifts the peak by 1°C, though late-day observations are unlikely to alter the outcome materially.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions