Recent forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and European ensembles indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Munich on August 8, with maximum temperatures likely peaking near 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds. The market's tight clustering around 29–30°C (71% combined implied probability) reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C to official station readings versus rural analogs. Key differentiators between these outcomes include exact cloud-cover timing that modulates solar insolation and any subtle shift in the 850 hPa ridge, both of which are resolved only in the final model runs before local midnight. Historical August maxima near 23–25°C provide climatological context, underscoring how the current setup sits above average yet below the early-month extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日慕尼黑的最高溫度?
30°C 37%
29°C 35%
31°C 14%
28°C 9%
$20,718 交易量
$20,718 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
35%
30°C
37%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
29°C 35%
31°C 14%
28°C 9%
$20,718 交易量
$20,718 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
35%
30°C
37%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service and European ensembles indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Munich on August 8, with maximum temperatures likely peaking near 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds. The market's tight clustering around 29–30°C (71% combined implied probability) reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C to official station readings versus rural analogs. Key differentiators between these outcomes include exact cloud-cover timing that modulates solar insolation and any subtle shift in the 850 hPa ridge, both of which are resolved only in the final model runs before local midnight. Historical August maxima near 23–25°C provide climatological context, underscoring how the current setup sits above average yet below the early-month extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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