Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a London maximum of 28°C on August 8 under high pressure, prolonged sunny intervals, and light winds that favor daytime radiative heating without significant cloud cover or mixing. This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for 28°C and 33.5% for 27°C, while supporting a smaller chance of 29°C if conditions remain drier and warmer than expected. The broader summer warmth anomaly, with UK temperatures running above the long-term average, provides additional context, though forecast uncertainty from potential haze or minor wind shifts could still shift the final observed peak within the 27–29°C range before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月8日倫敦的最高溫度？
28°C 48%
27°C 35%
29°C 14%
26°C 4%
$34,804 交易量
$34,804 交易量
2026-08-08
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
35%
28°C
48%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 48%
27°C 35%
29°C 14%
26°C 4%
$34,804 交易量
$34,804 交易量
2026-08-08
23°C or below
$1,155 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,168 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,902 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,011 交易量
4%
27°C
$7,371 交易量
35%
28°C
$5,650 交易量
48%
29°C
$4,016 交易量
14%
30°C
$4,366 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,872 交易量
<1%
32°C
$794 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$501 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a London maximum of 28°C on August 8 under high pressure, prolonged sunny intervals, and light winds that favor daytime radiative heating without significant cloud cover or mixing. This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for 28°C and 33.5% for 27°C, while supporting a smaller chance of 29°C if conditions remain drier and warmer than expected. The broader summer warmth anomaly, with UK temperatures running above the long-term average, provides additional context, though forecast uncertainty from potential haze or minor wind shifts could still shift the final observed peak within the 27–29°C range before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$34,804結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a London maximum of 28°C on August 8 under high pressure, prolonged sunny intervals, and light winds that favor daytime radiative heating without significant cloud cover or mixing. This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for 28°C and 33.5% for 27°C, while supporting a smaller chance of 29°C if conditions remain drier and warmer than expected. The broader summer warmth anomaly, with UK temperatures running above the long-term average, provides additional context, though forecast uncertainty from potential haze or minor wind shifts could still shift the final observed peak within the 27–29°C range before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,804結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a London maximum of 28°C on August 8 under high pressure, prolonged sunny intervals, and light winds that favor daytime radiative heating without significant cloud cover or mixing. This aligns with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for 28°C and 33.5% for 27°C, while supporting a smaller chance of 29°C if conditions remain drier and warmer than expected. The broader summer warmth anomaly, with UK temperatures running above the long-term average, provides additional context, though forecast uncertainty from potential haze or minor wind shifts could still shift the final observed peak within the 27–29°C range before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions