The market consensus at 13°C reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts from MetService and global models for a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C in Wellington on August 8, consistent with August climatology where highs average near 12–13°C. Current observations and model runs show stable conditions with light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal temperature variance expected through the afternoon peak. This positioning draws on real-time surface data and ensemble guidance indicating low likelihood of deviation. Only a significant late-day warming surge or measurement anomaly at the primary station would realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the tight model cluster.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$69,949 交易量
$69,949 交易量
2026-08-08
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$69,949 交易量
$69,949 交易量
2026-08-08
7°C or below
$522 交易量
No
8°C
$521 交易量
No
9°C
$689 交易量
No
10°C
$1,672 交易量
No
11°C
$10,415 交易量
No
12°C
$14,145 交易量
No
13°C
$14,078 交易量
Yes
14°C
$13,410 交易量
No
15°C
$10,335 交易量
No
16°C
$3,043 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$1,118 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus at 13°C reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts from MetService and global models for a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C in Wellington on August 8, consistent with August climatology where highs average near 12–13°C. Current observations and model runs show stable conditions with light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal temperature variance expected through the afternoon peak. This positioning draws on real-time surface data and ensemble guidance indicating low likelihood of deviation. Only a significant late-day warming surge or measurement anomaly at the primary station would realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the tight model cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$69,949結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus at 13°C reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts from MetService and global models for a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C in Wellington on August 8, consistent with August climatology where highs average near 12–13°C. Current observations and model runs show stable conditions with light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal temperature variance expected through the afternoon peak. This positioning draws on real-time surface data and ensemble guidance indicating low likelihood of deviation. Only a significant late-day warming surge or measurement anomaly at the primary station would realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the tight model cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$69,949結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The market consensus at 13°C reflects the strong agreement across official forecasts from MetService and global models for a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C in Wellington on August 8, consistent with August climatology where highs average near 12–13°C. Current observations and model runs show stable conditions with light northerly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal temperature variance expected through the afternoon peak. This positioning draws on real-time surface data and ensemble guidance indicating low likelihood of deviation. Only a significant late-day warming surge or measurement anomaly at the primary station would realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the tight model cluster.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions