Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度?
28°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,006 交易量
$25,006 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,006 交易量
$25,006 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions