Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlights increasing cloud cover and scattered light rain potential moderating Shanghai’s peak temperatures on August 8, keeping daily highs near 32–33 °C amid lingering subtropical high influence. This aligns with observed easing after an early-August heatwave featuring 35–38 °C readings under clear skies and high humidity. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any frontal boundary, which could enhance or suppress insolation, and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. With 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes closely matched at 37.5 % and 35 %, traders weigh minor forecast shifts in wind patterns and moisture that typically alter maxima by 1–2 °C in this humid subtropical regime.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日上海最高溫度?
32°C 38%
33°C 34%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
38%
33°C
34%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 34%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
38%
33°C
34%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlights increasing cloud cover and scattered light rain potential moderating Shanghai’s peak temperatures on August 8, keeping daily highs near 32–33 °C amid lingering subtropical high influence. This aligns with observed easing after an early-August heatwave featuring 35–38 °C readings under clear skies and high humidity. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any frontal boundary, which could enhance or suppress insolation, and urban heat-island amplification in the city center. With 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes closely matched at 37.5 % and 35 %, traders weigh minor forecast shifts in wind patterns and moisture that typically alter maxima by 1–2 °C in this humid subtropical regime.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions