Traders assign a 100% implied probability to a 28°C low in Shanghai on August 8, 2026, driven by convergent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing nighttime temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal minimum aligned with ensemble model outputs projecting 27–29°C. Official observational data from urban stations reinforce this range, with recent days recording comparable lows. An unexpected cold surge or sharp drop in dew points could shift readings lower, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations improbable before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日上海最低溫度？
8月8日上海最低溫度？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$50,466 交易量
$50,466 交易量
2026-08-08
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$50,466 交易量
$50,466 交易量
2026-08-08
22°C或以下
$1,051 交易量
否
23°C
$2,314 交易量
否
24°C
$3,091 交易量
否
25°C
$3,429 交易量
否
26°C
$3,713 交易量
否
27°C
$4,800 交易量
否
28°C
$17,358 交易量
是
29°C
$7,822 交易量
否
30°C
$5,238 交易量
否
31°C
$1,517 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$134 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 100% implied probability to a 28°C low in Shanghai on August 8, 2026, driven by convergent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing nighttime temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal minimum aligned with ensemble model outputs projecting 27–29°C. Official observational data from urban stations reinforce this range, with recent days recording comparable lows. An unexpected cold surge or sharp drop in dew points could shift readings lower, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations improbable before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$50,466結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 100% implied probability to a 28°C low in Shanghai on August 8, 2026, driven by convergent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing nighttime temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal minimum aligned with ensemble model outputs projecting 27–29°C. Official observational data from urban stations reinforce this range, with recent days recording comparable lows. An unexpected cold surge or sharp drop in dew points could shift readings lower, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations improbable before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,466結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign a 100% implied probability to a 28°C low in Shanghai on August 8, 2026, driven by convergent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing nighttime temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping the diurnal minimum aligned with ensemble model outputs projecting 27–29°C. Official observational data from urban stations reinforce this range, with recent days recording comparable lows. An unexpected cold surge or sharp drop in dew points could shift readings lower, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations improbable before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions