Recent cooling after mid-August warmth has shifted focus to overnight radiative cooling rates for Paris on August 17, where Météo-France guidance and ensemble models currently favor minima near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. The near-even market pricing between 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C reflects genuine uncertainty in cloud cover timing and Atlantic air advection, which modulate the degree of nocturnal temperature drop; clearer conditions would enhance radiative losses and favor the lower end, while increased cloudiness or mixing would limit cooling toward 20–21°C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 15–18°C) provides context, but short-term variability in these variables keeps the three leading outcomes tightly contested ahead of the next forecast cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日巴黎最低溫度？
8月17日巴黎最低溫度？
20°C 54%
19°C 40%
18°C 2%
17°C 1.0%
最新
$16,376 交易量
最新
$16,376 交易量
2026-08-17
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
40%
20°C
41%
21°C
35%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
20°C 54%
19°C 40%
18°C 2%
17°C 1.0%
最新
$16,376 交易量
最新
$16,376 交易量
2026-08-17
16°C或以下
$909 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,639 交易量
1%
18°C
$2,081 交易量
2%
19°C
$1,303 交易量
40%
20°C
$975 交易量
41%
21°C
$731 交易量
35%
22°C
$537 交易量
1%
23°C
$5,925 交易量
<1%
24°C
$820 交易量
<1%
25°C
$228 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$228 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after mid-August warmth has shifted focus to overnight radiative cooling rates for Paris on August 17, where Météo-France guidance and ensemble models currently favor minima near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. The near-even market pricing between 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C reflects genuine uncertainty in cloud cover timing and Atlantic air advection, which modulate the degree of nocturnal temperature drop; clearer conditions would enhance radiative losses and favor the lower end, while increased cloudiness or mixing would limit cooling toward 20–21°C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 15–18°C) provides context, but short-term variability in these variables keeps the three leading outcomes tightly contested ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$16,376結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after mid-August warmth has shifted focus to overnight radiative cooling rates for Paris on August 17, where Météo-France guidance and ensemble models currently favor minima near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. The near-even market pricing between 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C reflects genuine uncertainty in cloud cover timing and Atlantic air advection, which modulate the degree of nocturnal temperature drop; clearer conditions would enhance radiative losses and favor the lower end, while increased cloudiness or mixing would limit cooling toward 20–21°C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 15–18°C) provides context, but short-term variability in these variables keeps the three leading outcomes tightly contested ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,376結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent cooling after mid-August warmth has shifted focus to overnight radiative cooling rates for Paris on August 17, where Météo-France guidance and ensemble models currently favor minima near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. The near-even market pricing between 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C reflects genuine uncertainty in cloud cover timing and Atlantic air advection, which modulate the degree of nocturnal temperature drop; clearer conditions would enhance radiative losses and favor the lower end, while increased cloudiness or mixing would limit cooling toward 20–21°C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 15–18°C) provides context, but short-term variability in these variables keeps the three leading outcomes tightly contested ahead of the next forecast cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions