Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport under National Weather Service protocols, recorded a daily minimum of 68–69°F on August 16, 2026. This outcome reflects verified hourly readings and quality-controlled data releases that close the market window once the calendar day ends. The 100% market-implied probability stems from the certainty of post-event verification, where final lows are determined by standardized instrumentation rather than forecasts. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-processing revisions due to sensor calibration issues or station-specific anomalies, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent and small in magnitude for summer minimum temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月16日紐約市的最低溫度？
68-69°F 100.0%
華氏63度或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$20,535 交易量
$20,535 交易量
2026-08-16
華氏63度或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或以上
否
68-69°F 100.0%
華氏63度或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$20,535 交易量
$20,535 交易量
2026-08-16
華氏63度或以下
$432 交易量
否
64-65°F
$714 交易量
否
66-67°F
$1,366 交易量
否
68-69°F
$1,452 交易量
是
70-71°F
$8,872 交易量
否
72-73°F
$3,104 交易量
否
74-75°F
$2,543 交易量
否
76-77°F
$724 交易量
否
78-79°F
$667 交易量
否
80-81°F
$381 交易量
否
82°F或以上
$281 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport under National Weather Service protocols, recorded a daily minimum of 68–69°F on August 16, 2026. This outcome reflects verified hourly readings and quality-controlled data releases that close the market window once the calendar day ends. The 100% market-implied probability stems from the certainty of post-event verification, where final lows are determined by standardized instrumentation rather than forecasts. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-processing revisions due to sensor calibration issues or station-specific anomalies, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent and small in magnitude for summer minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$20,535結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport under National Weather Service protocols, recorded a daily minimum of 68–69°F on August 16, 2026. This outcome reflects verified hourly readings and quality-controlled data releases that close the market window once the calendar day ends. The 100% market-implied probability stems from the certainty of post-event verification, where final lows are determined by standardized instrumentation rather than forecasts. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-processing revisions due to sensor calibration issues or station-specific anomalies, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent and small in magnitude for summer minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,535結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport under National Weather Service protocols, recorded a daily minimum of 68–69°F on August 16, 2026. This outcome reflects verified hourly readings and quality-controlled data releases that close the market window once the calendar day ends. The 100% market-implied probability stems from the certainty of post-event verification, where final lows are determined by standardized instrumentation rather than forecasts. Minor challenges could arise only from rare post-processing revisions due to sensor calibration issues or station-specific anomalies, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are infrequent and small in magnitude for summer minimum temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions