Flu activity in the U.S. during late summer typically remains minimal, with CDC surveillance data showing hospitalization rates well below 0.1 per 100,000 population in August weeks due to seasonal patterns and limited influenza circulation. Historical baselines confirm near-zero or single-digit rates outside the typical October–April window, supporting trader consensus around the <0.1 and =0.1 thresholds. Current model consensus and early sentinel site reports indicate stable low transmission, though slight upward pressure on >0.1 odds could arise from any anomalous early outbreaks or reporting revisions. Upcoming weekly FluView updates and confirmation of case thresholds will provide the next key data points for refining these closely matched market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年第32周流感住院率？
2026年第32周流感住院率？
<0.1 49%
0.1 44%
>0.1 42%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
<0.1
49%
0.1
44%
>0.1
42%
<0.1 49%
0.1 44%
>0.1 42%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
<0.1
$0 交易量
49%
0.1
$0 交易量
44%
>0.1
$117 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity in the U.S. during late summer typically remains minimal, with CDC surveillance data showing hospitalization rates well below 0.1 per 100,000 population in August weeks due to seasonal patterns and limited influenza circulation. Historical baselines confirm near-zero or single-digit rates outside the typical October–April window, supporting trader consensus around the <0.1 and =0.1 thresholds. Current model consensus and early sentinel site reports indicate stable low transmission, though slight upward pressure on >0.1 odds could arise from any anomalous early outbreaks or reporting revisions. Upcoming weekly FluView updates and confirmation of case thresholds will provide the next key data points for refining these closely matched market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
交易量
$117結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity in the U.S. during late summer typically remains minimal, with CDC surveillance data showing hospitalization rates well below 0.1 per 100,000 population in August weeks due to seasonal patterns and limited influenza circulation. Historical baselines confirm near-zero or single-digit rates outside the typical October–April window, supporting trader consensus around the <0.1 and =0.1 thresholds. Current model consensus and early sentinel site reports indicate stable low transmission, though slight upward pressure on >0.1 odds could arise from any anomalous early outbreaks or reporting revisions. Upcoming weekly FluView updates and confirmation of case thresholds will provide the next key data points for refining these closely matched market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$117結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flu activity in the U.S. during late summer typically remains minimal, with CDC surveillance data showing hospitalization rates well below 0.1 per 100,000 population in August weeks due to seasonal patterns and limited influenza circulation. Historical baselines confirm near-zero or single-digit rates outside the typical October–April window, supporting trader consensus around the <0.1 and =0.1 thresholds. Current model consensus and early sentinel site reports indicate stable low transmission, though slight upward pressure on >0.1 odds could arise from any anomalous early outbreaks or reporting revisions. Upcoming weekly FluView updates and confirmation of case thresholds will provide the next key data points for refining these closely matched market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions