Recent Met Office forecasts position a 31–32°C peak as the most likely outcome for London on August 9 under predominantly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal rain risk, driving the market's strong consensus around these levels. High-pressure dominance promotes clear conditions that enhance solar heating, while the urban heat island effect and warm air advection further support afternoon maxima near or slightly above 30°C. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, making this setup a notable warm anomaly consistent with current model runs. Any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts could trim the high toward 30°C, though updated guidance continues to favor the upper end of the leading probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日倫敦的最高溫度?
31°C 66%
32°C 23%
30°C 12%
33°C 2%
$62,291 交易量
$62,291 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
12%
31°C
66%
32°C
23%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 66%
32°C 23%
30°C 12%
33°C 2%
$62,291 交易量
$62,291 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
12%
31°C
66%
32°C
23%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts position a 31–32°C peak as the most likely outcome for London on August 9 under predominantly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal rain risk, driving the market's strong consensus around these levels. High-pressure dominance promotes clear conditions that enhance solar heating, while the urban heat island effect and warm air advection further support afternoon maxima near or slightly above 30°C. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, making this setup a notable warm anomaly consistent with current model runs. Any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts could trim the high toward 30°C, though updated guidance continues to favor the upper end of the leading probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions