Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 10, which will suppress daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions stem from regional moisture influx and weak steering patterns typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, with high humidity further moderating surface warming. Historical August baselines for Shanghai average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current forecast departure aligns with trader positioning that places 29 °C as the modal outcome at 46 % implied probability. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日上海最高溫度？
8月10日上海最高溫度？
29°C 46%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 7%
最新
$16,451 交易量
最新
$16,451 交易量
2026-08-10
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
18%
29°C
46%
30°C
28%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 46%
30°C 28%
28°C 18%
31°C 7%
最新
$16,451 交易量
最新
$16,451 交易量
2026-08-10
23°C or below
$483 交易量
<1%
24°C
$438 交易量
<1%
25°C
$498 交易量
<1%
26°C
$765 交易量
1%
27°C
$2,225 交易量
3%
28°C
$1,629 交易量
18%
29°C
$2,435 交易量
46%
30°C
$2,444 交易量
28%
31°C
$2,854 交易量
7%
32°C
$1,414 交易量
3%
33°C or higher
$1,266 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 10, which will suppress daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions stem from regional moisture influx and weak steering patterns typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, with high humidity further moderating surface warming. Historical August baselines for Shanghai average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current forecast departure aligns with trader positioning that places 29 °C as the modal outcome at 46 % implied probability. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$16,451結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 10, which will suppress daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions stem from regional moisture influx and weak steering patterns typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, with high humidity further moderating surface warming. Historical August baselines for Shanghai average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current forecast departure aligns with trader positioning that places 29 °C as the modal outcome at 46 % implied probability. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,451結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall over Shanghai on August 10, which will suppress daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions stem from regional moisture influx and weak steering patterns typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon influences, with high humidity further moderating surface warming. Historical August baselines for Shanghai average highs around 31–32 °C, but the current forecast departure aligns with trader positioning that places 29 °C as the modal outcome at 46 % implied probability. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions