The market-implied odds reflect real-time observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations confirming a daily minimum of exactly 25°C on August 9, with no lower readings recorded through the resolution window. Official temperature monitoring shows typical August conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects that prevented further cooling overnight or during early morning hours. This consensus aligns with historical August minima for the region, where averages hover near 26–28°C but can dip under stable atmospheric patterns. A late-day cold front, sensor recalibration, or unreported microclimate anomaly remains the primary scenario that could shift outcomes, though current model runs and station networks indicate low likelihood of such changes before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日上海最低溫度？
8月9日上海最低溫度？
25°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,305 交易量
$42,305 交易量
2026-08-09
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,305 交易量
$42,305 交易量
2026-08-09
22°C或以下
$6,332 交易量
否
23°C
$3,847 交易量
否
24°C
$2,685 交易量
否
25°C
$2,642 交易量
是
26°C
$13,271 交易量
否
27°C
$2,887 交易量
否
28°C
$6,242 交易量
否
29°C
$840 交易量
否
30°C
$1,329 交易量
否
31°C
$933 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$1,297 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect real-time observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations confirming a daily minimum of exactly 25°C on August 9, with no lower readings recorded through the resolution window. Official temperature monitoring shows typical August conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects that prevented further cooling overnight or during early morning hours. This consensus aligns with historical August minima for the region, where averages hover near 26–28°C but can dip under stable atmospheric patterns. A late-day cold front, sensor recalibration, or unreported microclimate anomaly remains the primary scenario that could shift outcomes, though current model runs and station networks indicate low likelihood of such changes before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$42,305結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect real-time observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations confirming a daily minimum of exactly 25°C on August 9, with no lower readings recorded through the resolution window. Official temperature monitoring shows typical August conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects that prevented further cooling overnight or during early morning hours. This consensus aligns with historical August minima for the region, where averages hover near 26–28°C but can dip under stable atmospheric patterns. A late-day cold front, sensor recalibration, or unreported microclimate anomaly remains the primary scenario that could shift outcomes, though current model runs and station networks indicate low likelihood of such changes before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,305結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market-implied odds reflect real-time observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations confirming a daily minimum of exactly 25°C on August 9, with no lower readings recorded through the resolution window. Official temperature monitoring shows typical August conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure and urban heat effects that prevented further cooling overnight or during early morning hours. This consensus aligns with historical August minima for the region, where averages hover near 26–28°C but can dip under stable atmospheric patterns. A late-day cold front, sensor recalibration, or unreported microclimate anomaly remains the primary scenario that could shift outcomes, though current model runs and station networks indicate low likelihood of such changes before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions