The market-implied odds reflect official observational data confirming that London's highest temperature on August 10 reached exactly 26°C, consistent with Met Office surface measurements and aligned forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours. Atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure system and limited cloud cover over southern England, supported daytime warming to this level without exceeding it, matching climatological baselines for early August in the region. Traders have converged on this outcome because real-time station data and verification thresholds leave minimal scope for revision. Only an unforeseen post-analysis adjustment to the official maximum or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary recording site could realistically alter the result before final settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月10日倫敦的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$148,487 交易量
$148,487 交易量
2026-08-10
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$148,487 交易量
$148,487 交易量
2026-08-10
22°C or below
$654 交易量
No
23°C
$636 交易量
No
24°C
$32,469 交易量
No
25°C
$30,289 交易量
No
26°C
$30,143 交易量
Yes
27°C
$20,987 交易量
No
28°C
$12,530 交易量
No
29°C
$9,210 交易量
No
30°C
$5,453 交易量
No
31°C
$2,642 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$3,474 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect official observational data confirming that London's highest temperature on August 10 reached exactly 26°C, consistent with Met Office surface measurements and aligned forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours. Atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure system and limited cloud cover over southern England, supported daytime warming to this level without exceeding it, matching climatological baselines for early August in the region. Traders have converged on this outcome because real-time station data and verification thresholds leave minimal scope for revision. Only an unforeseen post-analysis adjustment to the official maximum or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary recording site could realistically alter the result before final settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
交易量
$148,487結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect official observational data confirming that London's highest temperature on August 10 reached exactly 26°C, consistent with Met Office surface measurements and aligned forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours. Atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure system and limited cloud cover over southern England, supported daytime warming to this level without exceeding it, matching climatological baselines for early August in the region. Traders have converged on this outcome because real-time station data and verification thresholds leave minimal scope for revision. Only an unforeseen post-analysis adjustment to the official maximum or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary recording site could realistically alter the result before final settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$148,487結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The market-implied odds reflect official observational data confirming that London's highest temperature on August 10 reached exactly 26°C, consistent with Met Office surface measurements and aligned forecast model consensus from the prior 24–48 hours. Atmospheric conditions, including a stable high-pressure system and limited cloud cover over southern England, supported daytime warming to this level without exceeding it, matching climatological baselines for early August in the region. Traders have converged on this outcome because real-time station data and verification thresholds leave minimal scope for revision. Only an unforeseen post-analysis adjustment to the official maximum or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary recording site could realistically alter the result before final settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions