Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak daily high near 33°C for Chongqing on August 9, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer heat, and potential for increased cloud cover or scattered precipitation that moderates afternoon temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 34–35°C, with recent observations showing highs of 34–35°C amid variable humidity above 70%. Trader consensus reflected in the 39% implied probability for 33°C incorporates uncertainty from model spread and short-range forecast revisions expected from agencies monitoring regional steering patterns. Upcoming model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift probabilities toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日重慶氣溫最高？
8月9日重慶氣溫最高？
33°C 38%
32°C 31%
34°C 22%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
31%
33°C
38%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 31%
34°C 22%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C or below
$153 交易量
<1%
28°C
$84 交易量
<1%
29°C
$37 交易量
<1%
30°C
$145 交易量
3%
31°C
$123 交易量
7%
32°C
$713 交易量
31%
33°C
$2,325 交易量
38%
34°C
$426 交易量
22%
35°C
$110 交易量
6%
36°C
$152 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$89 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak daily high near 33°C for Chongqing on August 9, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer heat, and potential for increased cloud cover or scattered precipitation that moderates afternoon temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 34–35°C, with recent observations showing highs of 34–35°C amid variable humidity above 70%. Trader consensus reflected in the 39% implied probability for 33°C incorporates uncertainty from model spread and short-range forecast revisions expected from agencies monitoring regional steering patterns. Upcoming model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift probabilities toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,357結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak daily high near 33°C for Chongqing on August 9, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer heat, and potential for increased cloud cover or scattered precipitation that moderates afternoon temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 34–35°C, with recent observations showing highs of 34–35°C amid variable humidity above 70%. Trader consensus reflected in the 39% implied probability for 33°C incorporates uncertainty from model spread and short-range forecast revisions expected from agencies monitoring regional steering patterns. Upcoming model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift probabilities toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,357結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak daily high near 33°C for Chongqing on August 9, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer heat, and potential for increased cloud cover or scattered precipitation that moderates afternoon temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 34–35°C, with recent observations showing highs of 34–35°C amid variable humidity above 70%. Trader consensus reflected in the 39% implied probability for 33°C incorporates uncertainty from model spread and short-range forecast revisions expected from agencies monitoring regional steering patterns. Upcoming model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift probabilities toward adjacent outcomes like 32°C or 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions