Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and supporting numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus at that exact threshold. Persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain or showers, consistent with recent model consensus, are suppressing insolation and limiting daytime heating below typical August climatology of 33–35°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these verified forecast outputs and the narrow resolution window tied to official station observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport. A significant model shift or unexpected clearing could still alter the outcome, though current data show low uncertainty around the 30°C mark.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日重慶氣溫最高？
8月8日重慶氣溫最高？
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,318 交易量
$69,318 交易量
2026-08-08
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C或以上
否
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,318 交易量
$69,318 交易量
2026-08-08
26°C or below
$2,733 交易量
No
27°C
$3,897 交易量
No
28°C
$3,510 交易量
No
29°C
$11,397 交易量
No
30°C
$7,778 交易量
Yes
31°C
$11,220 交易量
No
32°C
$9,709 交易量
No
33°C
$5,426 交易量
No
34°C
$6,062 交易量
No
35°C
$5,206 交易量
No
36°C或以上
$2,379 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and supporting numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus at that exact threshold. Persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain or showers, consistent with recent model consensus, are suppressing insolation and limiting daytime heating below typical August climatology of 33–35°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these verified forecast outputs and the narrow resolution window tied to official station observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport. A significant model shift or unexpected clearing could still alter the outcome, though current data show low uncertainty around the 30°C mark.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$69,318結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and supporting numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus at that exact threshold. Persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain or showers, consistent with recent model consensus, are suppressing insolation and limiting daytime heating below typical August climatology of 33–35°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these verified forecast outputs and the narrow resolution window tied to official station observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport. A significant model shift or unexpected clearing could still alter the outcome, though current data show low uncertainty around the 30°C mark.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$69,318結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and supporting numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 30°C for Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus at that exact threshold. Persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain or showers, consistent with recent model consensus, are suppressing insolation and limiting daytime heating below typical August climatology of 33–35°C. The market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these verified forecast outputs and the narrow resolution window tied to official station observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport. A significant model shift or unexpected clearing could still alter the outcome, though current data show low uncertainty around the 30°C mark.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions