Trader consensus on the Austin high temperature market centers on 96-99°F for August 10, reflecting model guidance for near-average summer conditions moderated by scattered clouds and a chance of thunderstorms. Persistent high pressure supports daytime heating typical of peak August, when the long-term average high reaches 96-98°F, yet recent forecast runs from the National Weather Service and private models indicate sufficient moisture and instability to limit full insolation and cap extremes. This setup reduces the likelihood of 100°F+ readings that have occurred on this calendar date in past years, while steering probabilities away from cooler outcomes below 95°F. Updated model consensus and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or precipitation timing ahead of the daily maximum will likely refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月10日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
96-97°F 52%
98-99°F 32%
94-95°F 13%
100-101°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
52%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106華氏度或以上
<1%
96-97°F 52%
98-99°F 32%
94-95°F 13%
100-101°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
87°F或以下
$24 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$115 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$32 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$30 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$213 交易量
13%
96-97°F
$127 交易量
52%
98-99°F
$52 交易量
32%
100-101°F
$26 交易量
5%
102-103°F
$24 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$216 交易量
<1%
106華氏度或以上
$96 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Austin high temperature market centers on 96-99°F for August 10, reflecting model guidance for near-average summer conditions moderated by scattered clouds and a chance of thunderstorms. Persistent high pressure supports daytime heating typical of peak August, when the long-term average high reaches 96-98°F, yet recent forecast runs from the National Weather Service and private models indicate sufficient moisture and instability to limit full insolation and cap extremes. This setup reduces the likelihood of 100°F+ readings that have occurred on this calendar date in past years, while steering probabilities away from cooler outcomes below 95°F. Updated model consensus and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or precipitation timing ahead of the daily maximum will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$889結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Austin high temperature market centers on 96-99°F for August 10, reflecting model guidance for near-average summer conditions moderated by scattered clouds and a chance of thunderstorms. Persistent high pressure supports daytime heating typical of peak August, when the long-term average high reaches 96-98°F, yet recent forecast runs from the National Weather Service and private models indicate sufficient moisture and instability to limit full insolation and cap extremes. This setup reduces the likelihood of 100°F+ readings that have occurred on this calendar date in past years, while steering probabilities away from cooler outcomes below 95°F. Updated model consensus and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or precipitation timing ahead of the daily maximum will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$889結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETTrader consensus on the Austin high temperature market centers on 96-99°F for August 10, reflecting model guidance for near-average summer conditions moderated by scattered clouds and a chance of thunderstorms. Persistent high pressure supports daytime heating typical of peak August, when the long-term average high reaches 96-98°F, yet recent forecast runs from the National Weather Service and private models indicate sufficient moisture and instability to limit full insolation and cap extremes. This setup reduces the likelihood of 100°F+ readings that have occurred on this calendar date in past years, while steering probabilities away from cooler outcomes below 95°F. Updated model consensus and any last-minute adjustments to cloud cover or precipitation timing ahead of the daily maximum will likely refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions